NFL Pick Em for Week 12

Last week’s picks: 10-4

Season total: 104-56

It is week 12 of the NFL and there are a lot of good games this week, including a few on Thanksgiving. Green Bay and Detroit kick off week 12 on Thanksgiving Day at 12:30. Let’s get to the picks…

Thanksgiving games: Thursday, November 24

Green Bay Packers (10-0) @ Detroit Lions (7-3) – For the first time in a while, the Detroit game is the best Thanksgiving game on the schedule. The Lions need this one more as the Packers have a three game lead in the division and Detroit is battling it out with the Bears, Giants, Cowboys and Falcons for the wild card spots. They would also love to show the world that they are for real. The Packers have shown some vulnerability recently, especially on defense. Get ready for a shootout. The Lions have not been as good at home and you cannot pick against Green Bay yet. My pick: Green Bay Packers

Miami Dolphins (3-7) @ Dallas Cowboys (6-4) – Although this game is still the worst matchup of the three Thanksgiving Day games, the game looks better with the Cowboys and Dolphins both on three game winning streaks. The Dolphins have dominated their last three opponents but now face the best team they have seen in a while. The Cowboys squeaked out a win against the rival Redskins last week but need to play better to beat the suddenly hot Dolphins. DeMarcus Ware versus Marc Colombo is a matchup to watch for. Dallas cannot afford to lose at home on Thanksgiving in their wildcard/NFC East race. My pick: Dallas Cowboys

San Francisco 49ers (9-1) @ Baltimore Ravens (7-3) – It is the “Harbaugh Bowl” as brothers Jim and John face off for the first time. This is a tough game for the 49ers. It is a short week and they have to travel all the way to Baltimore, which is always a tough place to play. You have to give credit to the 49ers for being 9-1 but I have a feeling this could wind up being an ugly game. If San Francisco manages to win this, they may lock up a first round bye for the playoffs. My pick: Baltimore Ravens

Sunday, November 27

Minnesota Vikings (2-8) @ Atlanta Falcons (6-4) – Minnesota will be without their best player in Adrian Peterson. The Falcons are much better at home. My pick: Atlanta Falcons

Carolina Panthers (2-8) @ Indianapolis Colts (0-10) – Neither team is any good. I have picked the Colts to upset a few times and they have been blown out. Carolina has lost some games they should have won so they may end up losing this, too. Still, I have to take them. My pick: Carolina Panthers

Cleveland Browns (4-6) @ Cincinnati Bengals (6-4) – The Bengals really showed me a lot by being in both of their games against the Steelers and Ravens. They cannot afford to have a down week and lose to a bad team. Cleveland is not any good. My pick: Cincinnati Bengals

Buffalo Bills (5-5) @ New York Jets (5-5) – The Jets started the Bills down turn when they dominated them in week 9. The Bills have been awful ever since. Their Cinderella story ends for good on Sunday. My pick: New York Jets

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-6) @ Tennessee Titans (5-5) – This is a flip-a-coin type game. The Titans have been more competitive. My pick: Tennessee Titans

Arizona Cardinals (3-7) @ St. Louis Rams (2-8) – Both of these teams stink. Arizona stinks less. My pick: Arizona Cardinals

Houston Texans (7-3) @ Jacksonville Jaguars (3-7) – Matt Schaub was a huge loss for the Texans. Who knows how good (bad) Matt Leinart will be? Blaine Gabbert looks lost. My pick: Houston Texans

Washington Redskins (3-7) @ Seattle Seahawks (4-6) – Seattle is the better of these two bad teams and are at home. Daniel Snyder has probably begun offering the Redskins job for next season. My pick: Seattle Seahawks

Chicago Bears (7-3) @ Oakland Raiders (6-4) – Jay Cutler is a huge loss for the Bears who are on a roll. I think that he will be back before the end of the season so Caleb Hanie just needs to win a few games in the meantime. The good thing for them is that they face a weak schedule after Oakland. You never know with the Raiders but they should beat a backup quarterback at home. Carson Palmer has looked good lately. My pick: Oakland Raiders

New England Patriots (7-3) @ Philadelphia Eagles (4-6) – The Eagles kept their season alive with a huge win over the Giants. If they dominate the line of scrimmage like they did in that game, then they will beat the Patriots. The problem is that you do not know what kind of effort you are going to get out of them. The Patriots have actually faced a somewhat weaker schedule this season in retrospect. I think the Eagles keep their season alive for another week. My pick: Philadelphia Eagles

Denver Broncos (5-5) @ San Diego Chargers (4-6) – The Chargers have lost five in a row and Denver is being fueled by “Tebow Mania.” They played a close game in week 5, a game in which Tebow sparked a fourth quarter comeback that just fell short. The Broncos are playing inspired and the Chargers are sleepwalking. My pick: Denver Broncos

Pittsburgh Steelers (7-3) @ Kansas City Chiefs (4-6) – Oof, Roethlisberger could probably rest his thumb in this one. My pick: Pittsburgh Steelers

Monday, November 28

New York Giants (6-4) @ New Orleans Saints (7-3) – Hey, Monday Night Football finally gets a good game! This is a must-win game for the Giants who have lost two in a row. It will not be an easy task against the Saints, who lead their division and are 4-0 at home. The Giants defense has not looked good recently. The good thing for the Giants is that the Saints defense is not any good. I will be surprised if this is not a shootout. Saints have more weapons. My pick: New Orleans Saints

Happy Thanksgiving everybody!

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